Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 2.677979e-05 0.000032 0.000037 0.000044 0.000051 0.000059 0.000068
2025-05-04 2.047000e-05 0.000027 0.000035 0.000044 0.000056 0.000068 0.000084
2025-05-11 1.747637e-05 0.000025 0.000035 0.000047 0.000062 0.000080 0.000103
2025-05-18 1.449713e-05 0.000023 0.000034 0.000048 0.000066 0.000089 0.000117
2025-05-25 1.092849e-05 0.000019 0.000030 0.000045 0.000065 0.000091 0.000124
2025-06-01 8.538432e-06 0.000016 0.000027 0.000043 0.000066 0.000094 0.000132
2025-06-08 7.023034e-06 0.000014 0.000026 0.000043 0.000067 0.000099 0.000143
2025-06-15 5.743897e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000042 0.000069 0.000104 0.000152
2025-06-22 4.501299e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000041 0.000068 0.000106 0.000159
2025-06-29 3.384039e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000039 0.000067 0.000106 0.000163
2025-07-06 2.451864e-06 0.000008 0.000018 0.000036 0.000065 0.000106 0.000166
2025-07-13 1.896559e-06 0.000007 0.000017 0.000035 0.000065 0.000108 0.000172
2025-07-20 1.424421e-06 0.000006 0.000016 0.000035 0.000067 0.000114 0.000185
2025-07-27 1.091950e-06 0.000005 0.000015 0.000035 0.000070 0.000122 0.000200
2025-08-03 9.644988e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000038 0.000076 0.000134 0.000223
2025-08-10 7.476753e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000038 0.000079 0.000142 0.000240
2025-08-17 4.386577e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000036 0.000077 0.000142 0.000245
2025-08-24 2.631292e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000035 0.000077 0.000145 0.000253
2025-08-31 1.708293e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000034 0.000078 0.000150 0.000266
2025-09-07 1.033437e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000034 0.000079 0.000155 0.000278
2025-09-14 5.047084e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000032 0.000079 0.000157 0.000286
2025-09-21 1.813009e-08 0.000001 0.000009 0.000031 0.000077 0.000157 0.000291
2025-09-28 3.870525e-09 0.000001 0.000008 0.000029 0.000074 0.000156 0.000294